Which Export-Tariff Gives You the Best Return?

Smart Export Guarantee & energy prices

Which Solar Export Tariff Gives You the Best Return?

Export rates matter — but they are only half the story. With grid electricity around 26p/kWh from October 2026 and further household-bill pressure forecast for January, the electricity your solar system stops you buying can be worth substantially more than a standard export payment.

Updated 1 September 2026
Homeowners considering solar PV and battery savings
The highest export rate is not automatically the best overall energy deal.Import price, export timing, battery control, standing charges and supplier eligibility can change the result.
26.32pOctober 2026 average capped electricity unit rate
16pOctopus Prime peak export rate, 4pm–7pm
£1,723Official October 2026 typical dual-fuel price cap
£1,872Cornwall Insight January 2027 forecast — not confirmed
Winter 2026–27 energy costs

October Is Confirmed. January Is Still a Forecast.

These are the latest figures available as of 1 September 2026. We keep the official Ofgem October rate separate from Cornwall Insight's January forecast.

Confirmed by Ofgem

1 October – 31 December 2026

£1,723 / year typical dual-fuel cap
  • Average electricity unit rate26.32p/kWh
  • Electricity standing charge54.83p/day
  • Headline cap change+4%
  • Electricity VAT0% from 1 Oct 2026

National-average Direct Debit figures; regional rates vary. Source: Ofgem ↗

Cornwall Insight forecast

1 January – 31 March 2027

£1,872.15 / year forecast typical dual-fuel cap
  • Forecast change from Octoberabout +9%
  • January electricity unit rateNot yet confirmed
  • Ofgem announcement dueby 25 Nov 2026
  • StatusForecast can change

Forecast calculated using market data at close of play 25 August 2026. Source: Cornwall Insight ↗

Important: we have deliberately not invented a January 2027 electricity p/kWh figure. Ofgem will confirm the January unit rates and standing charges later in November.
The value of using your own solar

A kWh You Don’t Buy Can Be Worth More Than a kWh You Export.

From October, a household on the average capped electricity rate avoids around 26.32p every time it uses 1kWh of solar instead of buying that unit from the grid. Many mainstream export tariffs pay around 12–13p/kWh.

That is why solar design should consider self-consumption, battery storage and export together — not chase the biggest SEG headline in isolation.

1kWh solar used at home at Oct cap rate≈26.32p
1kWh exported on 12p tariff12p
1kWh exported on 13p tariff13p
1kWh exported at Octopus Prime 4–7pm16p
Your actual import tariff may be cheaper or more expensive. Time-of-use prices, battery losses and tariff rules also affect the calculation.
Current supplier snapshot

Export Tariffs Mr Solar Customers Can Actually Access

We exclude the eye-catching rates that require the supplier itself to have installed your solar or battery, giving a fairer comparison for a Mr Solar customer.

Supplier & tariffExport rateMain eligibility2,000kWh illustrationOfficial supplier
Octopus Prime Outgoing16p peak / 9p otherOctopus import customer. 16p applies 4pm–7pm.Timing dependentOctopus ↗
EDF Export 12m V213p/kWhExisting residential EDF electricity customers; 12-month fixed export tariff.£260/yearEDF ↗
E.ON Next Export Exclusive v313p/kWhE.ON Next import tariff, excluding specified time-of-use tariffs.£260/yearE.ON Next ↗
Good Energy Solar Savings12p/kWhGood Energy electricity supply customer.£240/yearGood Energy ↗
British Gas Export Premium12p/kWhBest rate for British Gas electricity customers; published for systems up to 15kW.£240/yearBritish Gas ↗
Outgoing Octopus12p/kWhOctopus customer with a compatible import tariff.£240/yearOctopus ↗
OVO SEG Beyond Exclusive12p/kWhOVO electricity customer with eligible generation; OVO Beyond conditions apply.£240/yearOVO ↗
What should you optimise?

Think in This Order: Avoid, Store, Then Export Intelligently.

01

Use Solar Directly

Every unit used by the home reduces the amount of full-price grid electricity you need to buy.

02

Store Surplus

A battery can move midday generation into evening demand instead of exporting it immediately for a lower flat rate.

03

Exploit Cheap Import

On a compatible smart tariff, a battery may also charge at lower overnight rates for later household use.

04

Export at the Right Time

Where the tariff rewards peak export, battery control can shift suitable surplus into the higher-paying period.

Solar + battery

Higher Import Prices Increase the Value of Good Battery Control

Battery storage is not just about saving solar for later. The best setup can combine self-consumption, low-cost charging and strategic export depending on your tariff and usage.

  • Store surplus daytime solar for evening use
  • Reduce purchases at higher daytime import rates
  • Charge overnight where the tariff makes financial sense
  • Hold energy for a higher-value export period where compatible
  • Prioritise EV, heat-pump or household loads around the tariff
  • Adjust the strategy seasonally as generation changes
Solar battery storage installation by Mr Solar
Example only

2,000kWh Exported Is Not the Same as 2,000kWh Used at Home

At the October average capped electricity rate, avoiding 2,000kWh of grid purchases is worth about £526.40 in avoided unit charges. Exporting 2,000kWh at 12p earns £240; at 13p it earns £260.

That does not mean you should never export. It means the system should be designed around the combined value of self-use, battery operation and export, not one headline tariff rate.

Standing charges are excluded because you generally pay them whether or not the solar system is generating. Battery losses, tariff-specific prices and household behaviour are also excluded.
How Mr Solar helps

We Design the System Around Your Energy Pattern

01

Understand Usage

Annual consumption, day/night use, EVs, heating and future electrical demand.

02

Model Generation

System size, orientation, shading and realistic annual generation are considered together.

03

Size the Battery

Battery capacity and inverter power are matched to the load rather than a generic package.

04

Set the Tariff Strategy

We explain how import charging, self-consumption and export can work with the selected equipment.

Frequently asked questions

Export Tariff FAQ

Will electricity definitely rise again in January 2027?

No. Cornwall Insight currently forecasts the overall price cap rising to around £1,872, but this is not the official January tariff. Markets and policy can change before Ofgem confirms it.

What will the January electricity unit rate be?

It has not yet been confirmed. We will update this page when Ofgem publishes the official January 2027 unit rates and standing charges.

Is 16p export always better than 12p?

No. Octopus Prime pays 16p only during 4pm–7pm and 9p outside it. Your export timing, battery and linked import tariff determine the actual result.

Should I use solar at home or export it?

If the alternative is buying grid electricity around 26p/kWh, direct self-use can be more valuable than exporting at 12–16p. Smart tariffs and batteries can change the best strategy hour by hour.

Do I need a battery to receive SEG?

No. Solar-only systems can export. A battery gives you more control over when generated electricity is used or exported.

Sources & checking

Current Official and Supplier Information

Ofgem — October 2026

Official £1,723 cap, 26.32p/kWh electricity and 54.83p/day average electricity standing charge.

View Ofgem ↗
Cornwall Insight — January 2027

Latest forecast £1,872.15 for January–March 2027, calculated using market figures through 25 August.

View Cornwall Insight ↗
Energy Suppliers

Export figures above were checked against supplier tariff pages rather than comparison-site estimates.

Return to comparison ↑
Solar, battery & tariff review

The best return comes from the whole energy strategy — not just the SEG rate.

Let Mr Solar model generation, battery size, self-consumption and export around the way your home actually uses electricity.


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